The Private Equity Boom Hits a Reality Check



Private equity has long promised investors better returns than public markets, while offering entrepreneurs like Dan Namerow life-changing exits. But the market that made those deals work has changed. Higher interest rates have made debt-financed buyouts harder to justify, while deals struck at peak valuations in 2020 and 2021 have become more difficult to exit. University of Chicago Booth professor Steven Kaplan says US buyout funds largely beat public markets for decades, but that pattern has reversed since 2019, while PitchBook reports that the backlog of companies held by private equity firms has risen to more than 33,000. The result is a tougher environment where firms are being judged less on leverage and multiple expansion, and more on whether they can actually improve the businesses they buy.
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33 Comments

  1. Simple question can these private equity funds beat a large cap index fund? Oh yes, and please take fees into account. Long-term a large Index fund is hitting about 17% return Y/Y but this is long-term 10+ years invest investment. Can these private equity firms with their fees included say the same thing. The fee on a large cabin index fund comes in at about 0.2% you can do the math. These private equity firms can they say they’re beating a large cap index fund, which is nothing more than a fund that’s tracking large companies in the stock market.

  2. Private equity is a massive scam. It will ruin the small family owned business climate for millions. Then comes the crash that will ruin the entire economy. It's like subprime lending crash but much worse

  3. When PE openly killed Joann's Fabric, a lot of non-finance people started thinking about it as a scam system. Now, normal people I know start moving their business, if a doctor's office, vet, or dentist gets picked up by PE. Why stick around and watch a service go downhill?

  4. Y’all are ruining businesses and companies that people love. We stop going once you make changes and you drive them into bankruptcy.

    You also kill jobs. I fail to see any public good here.

  5. What horse crap! Private equity has ruined America. One example they bought up all the trailer parks across the country raise the rent which forced all the people out they couldn’t afford to move their trailers so they foreclosed on their trailers and then they fixed them up a little and now it’s so expensive to live in a trailer park. It’s insane. It’s just these are vultures.

  6. I think professor Kaplan is heavily invested in private equity and defending it…but it will become clear that private equity success was just about the money printing ….

  7. Anyone involved with private equity should spend life in prison. I mean, jacking up veterinary costs to line their own pockets? How are they not being held liable for animal abuse from that?

  8. "PE successfully improved the companies" … yo professor – they "improved" the companies by levering crap out of them prior to dumping them and often crippling them beyond repair … this PE creep is destroying dentistry, eye docs, plumbers, hvac contractors – was never meant for that

  9. Private equity guts local businesses and local economies to ship the money out to Wall Street and the top 10% They only leave a rotting husk behind for the average person the deal with at the end.

  10. The fact that they are going after 401-K money tells you EVERYTHING you need to know. They are not doing well, many are floundering, and they are looking for a bagholder – bigtime. Absolutely disgusting what PE has done in the Hospital/Medical space.

  11. Private equity has made everything get worse and worse. Panera Sip Club, increased prices, worse ingredients, shittier vet care. They are a cancer thrust upon the world.

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