Could a Global Dictatorship Last Forever?



Could a totalitarian regime conquer the entire world and lock in its power forever?

This is a particular type of unrecoverable dystopia: a future in which humanity survives, but forever loses its potential to grow and flourish.

In this video, we explore which technologies might make this possibility more likely, but also how we might shape technological development in order to prevent it, without giving up the global coordination we need against threats like misaligned AI and engineered pandemics.

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If you care about global issues like preventing stable totalitarianism, creating safe AI systems, preventing pandemics and addressing nuclear risks – but you feel like you can’t contribute through your career – one way that you can help tackle these types of threats is by donating to charities and projects that are working on these problems.

Giving What We Can has vetted a list of charities and funds from expert charity evaluators and grant makers, so that you can help fund research and initiatives designed to address these huge – and incredibly difficult – global risks.

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The Precipice and unrecoverable dystopia:

World empires and colonies in 1914:

Printing and the spread of the Reformation:

Printing and Protestants:

European wars of religion:

Censorship in the Russian Empire:

Das Kapital Comes to Russia:

LLMs and mass censorship:

Reconstructing language from brain activity (Nature Neuroscience):

Brain activity decoder (UT Austin):

Brain-computer interfaces as an existential risk:

Privacy-preserving COVID exposure notifications:

The mixed success of COVID exposure-notification apps:

Democracy and long-term risk:

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40 Comments

  1. If you'd like to help improve humanity's chances at a thriving future, you can learn more and donate here: https://givingwhatwecan.org/rational

    Giving What We Can has vetted a list of charities and funds from expert charity evaluators and grantmakers, so that you can help fund research and initiatives designed to address huge and incredibly difficult global risks such as stable totalitarianism, misaligned AI, pandemics, and nuclear weapons. Not everyone can work on these problems directly, but you don't need to change your career to make a difference.

  2. Absolute control is impossible, not because people cannot be influenced, but because people are not cogs or components in a system, AI technology could successfully read the thoughts and feelings of people, but it cannot force people to stop feeling or thinking those things, it can only account for when those emotions and thoughts emerge. A stable totalitarian society depends on everybody obeying the system, but obedience is not the same as mind control, and that human gap is something tyrants cannot successfully close without risking infighting, resistance, rivalry, rebellion and collapse.

    A system can suppress human agency, but it cannot completely abolish it without also undermining the network of human cooperation that allows the system to function.

    The tyrant's mistake is assuming that controlling the environment means controlling what emerges from it. When humans are not machines that maintain the same beliefs every generation.

    Other rival tyrants wouldn't want absolute control, because it means risking being controlled themselves, and there's the paradox behind it.

    The more the system tries to abolish human agency, the more it risks destroying the very thing that makes the system capable of functioning.

  3. I have little hope in humanity overcoming its own greed. LLMs are perfect examples. Scam Altman has famously put safety and security last. It's progress at all costs. LLMs are still stupid little things despite the glazers and AI bros telling us otherwise; yet they provide a window into the future. We will absolutely obliterate ourselves if it means some tech bro can get absurdly rich. We have absolutely no failsafe mechanisms in place.

  4. Dictatorships emerge out of crisis. If country hit a poverty, unequality, marginalization of majority, or many other causes if not all in the same time, radical movements appear and dictator can even be elected by people like Adolf Hitler in Germany.

  5. i think democracy is good for this purpose but its not general or broad enough of an idea.

    I think better mindset is "Flexibility/adaptability" and being able to change.

    so no suffering wether its hidden or not, is permenant.

    the things to think from there would be "what kind of change" "how to change" "how to smartly change", then it gets more complicated and interesting to talk about i think.

  6. Well, whats the point in scanning every citizens mind? You end up like the Kmer in Cambodia, killing everybody. I think at some point, total control becomes pointless. If you leave humans nothing private I think they will either uprise and revolt (no matter the chances) or commit suicide. So in my opinion this is a very unlikely scenario.

  7. you know a video is good when 4 minutes in i want to crash out on the creator, this is the first time ever, therefore making your video one of the best iv ever watched, Cheers G

  8. 11:17 Friendly reminder that cops can legally unlock your phone with face recognition but cannot compel you to unlock your phone with your PIN or password. Honestly you should have a PIN or password on your phone regardless, it's just way safer.

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